Transport costs are a crucial factor for the future of the green e-methanol market in Europe
As the world intensifies efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions and expand renewable energy, industry and long-range transportation are under increasing scrutiny. Green e-methanol is emerging as a promising alternative fuel and chemical, particularly for long-distance shipping and the chemical industry. While feedstocks and production costs often dominate discussions, an important factor – transportation and storage infrastructure – are often overlooked. New research from LUT University assesses the cost of transporting e-methanol from solar-rich regions like Morocco and Chile to energy-demanding European countries such as Germany, Finland, and Spain, offering insights into the competitiveness of imports versus local production.
The study, titled “Analysis of green e-methanol supply costs: Domestic production in Europe versus imports via pipeline and sea shipping,” examines e-methanol production costs across various regions, revealing significant differences. In Germany and Finland, production costs are considerably higher than in Spain, Morocco, and Chile. The primary reason for the disparity is the availability of high-quality solar resources, which enable lower electricity generation costs in the south, whereas in the coming years until the 2030s sites with very good wind energy resources remain competitive. By 2050, e-methanol production costs decrease across all regions, but the gap widens as solar PV costs decline faster than compared to wind power. Projections suggest that by 2050, e-methanol could be produced for as little as €50-55 ($51.5-56.7)/MWh (€279-308/tMeOH) in optimal locations such as northern Chile, Morrocco, and Spain.
Image: LUT University
The research provides a detailed analysis of transportation costs for green e-methanol imports to Europe from 2030 to 2050, comparing pipeline and shipping options. Pipelines are cost-effective for distances up to 420-475 km, but beyond this range, shipping becomes a more economical choice. For example, shipping e-methanol over 1000 km could cost around €2.1/MWh (€12/tMeOH), while pipeline costs may reach €3.6/MWh (€20/tMeOH) over the same distance.
Image: LUT University
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