Bringing clean African electrons to Europe
Interconnectors will play a more prominent role in European electricity in the 2030s, writes Matthew Lynas. Plans are afoot to increase links between European nations and there are ambitious hopes for intercontinental connections.
North Africa offers solar irradiance in abundance. Mediterranean African nations, in the “solar belt,” boast a generation profile less intermittent than Europe’s. Investors see potential. Analysis from Rystad Energy found proposed North Africa-to-Europe interconnectors could transfer energy from 24 GW of generation capacity. It looks unlikely that all of these will materialize.
Interconnectors linking Africa and Europe are not a new idea. There are currently two high-voltage cables linking Morocco with Spain, each with 700 MW of transmission capacity. A third cable linking the two nations is in development and there are much longer planned connections attracting financial backing.
Nivedh Das Thaikoottathil, senior analyst for renewables and power at Rystad Energy, highlighted three major projects: Xlinks, connecting the United Kingdom and Morocco; the GREGY initiative between Greece and Egypt; and Elmed joining Tunisia and Italy.
“The reason I say these interconnectors stand out from the rest is in terms of project developments and financing,” Thaikoottathil told pv magazine. “If we look at Xlinks, the project is estimated to cost around $27 billion to $30 billion but they’ve been able to raise a bit of investment, I think $110 million, and the majority of this will go into surveying along the planned route of the cable,” he said.
Project developers may have made progress on finance, but it will take more than money to link North Africa with Europe. Thaikoottathil warned that, at present, global supply for high-voltage and extra-high voltage subsea cable sits at around 9,000 km per year. That will not be enough. Going by the announced manufacturing capacity in development, that could hit 16,000 km per year by 2030, however, Rystad Energy projects demand could be as high as 75,000 km by then.
It is a big challenge but, if overcome, then there’s significant potential for interconnectors to add further diversity to European grids in the 2030s, reducing dependency on gas imports in the process.
“If you include Xlinks, GREGY, and Elmed-Tunita, basically the total adds up to 7.2 GW [of capacity],” said Thaikoottathil. “This would essentially translate to over 50 TWh being exported to Europe (annually). That is assuming these interconnectors operate at maximum capacity. In terms of diversification, it’s a starting point because most of these countries – that is UK, Greece, and Italy – which are receiving this power, they have gas making up at least one third of their power mix.”
Morocco to United KingdomMorocco was the only African nation with interconnectors running to Europe in 2024. Two connections with Spain are in operation, with a third on the way, and an ambitious project with credible investors has proposed a record-breaking link with Northern Europe.
Xlinks would be the world’s largest interconnector, if it comes to fruition. The plan is to run 4,000 km of high-voltage direct current (HVDC) cable from Morocco to the United Kingdom, exploiting the former’s abundant renewables potential. Progress has been made. Xlinks has agreed grid connections for two 1.8 GW interconnectors with Britain’s electricity system operator. In Morocco, Xlinks plans 7 GW of solar and 4.5 GW of wind capacity alongside a 22.5 GWh battery, according to Rystad Energy.
The project has attracted investors. In 2023, French utility Total Energies invested GBP 20 million ($26 million) and Octopus Energy and the Abu Dhabi National Energy Company are on board.
Dave Lewis, former boss of UK supermarket giant Tesco, chairs the project. Other key figures include vice chair Paddy Padmanathan, former president and CEO of Arabian developer ACWA Power, and CEO Simon Morrish.
Energization is a long way off, but Xlinks has taken steps toward planning approval. The project will require a development consent order (DCO) from the UK government for approximately 370 km of HVDC cables that would be laid within UK waters, as well as the final 14 km of onshore cabling connecting Moroccan renewables with the Alverdiscott, 400 kV substation in Devon, England. Xlinks was expected to submit its DCO application in November 2024, as pv magazine went to press. Should the UK government accept the application, a lengthy examination period will follow.
If planning consent is secured, other obstacles remain. Sourcing enough cable could pose challenges. To combat this, the project developer has set up a separate company, XLCC, tasked with establishing an HVDC subsea cable manufacturing plant. XLCC secured planning consent in 2022 from North Ayrshire Council, Scotland, to build a cable factory at a former coal and iron port located a stone’s throw from the Hunterston B nuclear power station, which stopped generating electricity in 2022.
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